Technical outlook:

The US dollar index rose to 102.25 on Wednesday before pulling back. The index is seen to be trading just below 102.00 at this point in writing and looking to push further through 103.20 at least before turning lower again. Bulls will be poised to remain in control in the near term pushing higher up to 103.60.

The US dollar index has carved a lower degree downswing between 104.88 and 101.52 in the past few trading sessions. The above scenario is being worked upon and the price should retrace up to the Fibonacci 0.618 level, which is seen around 103.60. Bears will be inclined to come back in control thereafter dragging towards 99.65 and 97.65 respectively.

The US dollar index has produced a stunning rally between 89.50 and 104.88 in the past several months. The Fibonacci 0.382 retracement of the above is seen around 99.00, which is the minimum expectation. Traders might be preparing to hold short positions and add more around 103.60 levels going forward.

Trading plan:

Potential drop through 99.00 and 97.65 against 104.88

Good luck!